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Subscribe to this list via RSS Blog posts tagged in Singapore Property Market

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Falling prices, rents, rising vacancies, but robust sales in some parts of the property market

At first glance, Singapore's broader property market appears decidedly gloomy, with vacancy rates in offices and malls climbing and residential prices falling relentlessly.

But according to analysts, various sectors of the market are showing signs of life, with increased office investments, robust luxury residential sales and a rejuvenated collective sales market.

Still, one of the starkest signs of gloom - unless you are a patient buyer - has been the fall in private home prices.

Including the third quarter this year, private home prices have sunk 10.8 per cent in 12 straight quarters since the peak of the third quarter in 2013. Rents have dropped to almost the same extent, by 10.7 per cent, according to Urban Redevelopment Authority (URA) data.

However, the sales volume has been rising, even though November saw a slightly cooler take-up. A total of 11,993 private residential units (excluding executive condominium units) were sold in the first nine months of this year, an increase of 9.8 per cent year on year.

Falling prices have, in fact, been a boon for the luxury residential property market.

As of last Thursday, there were 2,601 private home transactions in the area defined as the "core central region", 42.6 per cent higher than that of the whole of last year, said Savills Singapore research head Alan Cheong. This area includes Orchard, River Valley, Bukit Timah and Novena.

"Clearly, this shows that there has been a strong revival of interest in the luxury segment of the private residential market," he said. He attributed this to developers' creative payment schemes, such as OUE Twin Peaks' and d'Leedon's deferred payment schemes.

Analysts also singled out the return of collective sales as a cause for optimism. After a long dormant period, three deals were sealed this year, racking up more than $1 billion in value. Last year, there was just one $380 million deal and none in 2014.

The biggest collective sale of the year was of Bishan estate Shunfu Ville, bought by Chinese developer Qingjian Realty for $638 million. The sale is awaiting High Court approval.

The Straits Times understands that at least 10 collective sales committees have been set up in response to these successes.

Dr Lee Nai Jia, head of research at Edmund Tie and Co, is confident more collective sales will be sealed next year.

"This is because sellers have dropped their asking prices, while developers are keen on well-located smaller sites," he said. "It is good for the property market, as it helps to renew the stock of sites available."

However, the star performer of the property market this year was office investment sales. According to data from research firm Real Capital Analytics, the value of office investments in Singapore so far this year was US$4.9 billion (S$7.1 billion) as of Dec 14, rising 54 per cent from the same period a year earlier.

Foreign investment in local real estate hit its highest level in nine years.

Two mega deals made up the bulk of the $8.85 billion of foreign money. One was the sale of Asia Square Tower 1 for $3.38 billion by sovereign wealth fund Qatar Investment Authority. The second was Malaysian developer IOI Properties Group's unit Wealthy Link's record-setting bid of $2.57 billion for a "white" multi-use site in Central Boulevard. Both properties are in Marina Bay.

The bullish buying of commercial assets contrasted with the pressure being put on rental prices. Office vacancy rates continued to rise. They were up last quarter to 10.4 per cent, one of the highest in recent quarters, while office rentals and prices continued to decline last quarter.

In the retail and industrial segments, business remains woeful as rents have softened across the market, said Mr Cheong.

The median rental rate for retail spaces in the third quarter was the lowest on record, falling to $9.82 per sq ft per month for the Orchard area - the first time it fell below $10, according to URA data.

Meanwhile, average prime monthly rent for the factory and warehouse sector slipped 6.3 per cent quarter on quarter, having declined since the fourth quarter of last year.

Most analysts think that the residential market has bottomed out, and that there is cause for optimism next year, as they believe that the Government will release more Government Land Sales (GLS) sites.

Mr Cheong said next year will be a "watershed" year.

"Not only are we likely to see more GLS sites being listed on the confirmed list for residential development, it is also a year like in 2016 where those who, despite the restrictions imposed by the TDSR (total debt servicing ratio), still have the wherewithal to purchase, (and) will start sauntering back to the market," he said.

Ms Christine Li, director of research at Cushman and Wakefield, said that the optimism ahead was primarily in Singapore's commercial and high-end residential markets.

Credits: Propertyguru

 

 

 

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Posted by on in New Launches

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Despite the continued drop in private home prices, Singapore’s property market has showed signs of life, with a rejuvenated collective sales market and robust luxury residential sales, reported The New Paper.

Data from the Urban Redevelopment Authority (URA) showed that private home prices fell by 10.8 percent over 12 consecutive quarters, while rents dropped by 10.7 percent.

Nonetheless, the sales volume for the first nine months of 2016 increased by 9.8 percent year-on-year to 11,993 private units (excluding executive condominiums).

In fact, the falling prices have helped boost the luxury residential segment.

As at 15 December, the Core Central Region (CCR), which includes Orchard, Bukit Timah and Novena, registered 2,601 private home transactions, up 42.6 percent from last year, revealed Savills Singapore Research Head Alan Cheong.

“This shows there has been a strong revival of interest in the luxury segment of the private residential market,” he said.

Cheong attributed the revival to developers’ creative marketing schemes, like the deferred payment scheme offered at OUE Twin Peaks.

Another bright spot is the return of collective sales. Three deals worth over $1 billion were sealed this year, compared to one $380 million deal in 2015 and none in 2014.

The $638 million sale of Shunfu Ville to Chinese developer Qingjian Realty emerged as the biggest en bloc sale of the year.

Edmund Tie and Co. Research Head Dr Lee Nai Jia is confident more sales will be sealed in 2017.

“This is because sellers have dropped asking prices, while developers are keen on well-located smaller sites,” he said.

 

Credits: Propertyguru

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Prices to drop by 12-15%.

According to PropNex, over the next three years, 80,000 new BTO flats will be completed and keys handed over to buyers. HDB will also launch a total of 24,300 BTO flats in 2014 – this is just slightly lower than last year's supply of 25,100 units.

And according to Minister Khaw, 18,000 households in the next 3 years will be moving to a BTO flat, thus they are required to sell off their existing flat within the 6 months. With the forthcoming supply of HDB resale units in the market, it is expected to further create a downward pressure for HDB resale prices. In the next 2 years, we are expecting HDB resale prices may well drop by 12 to 15 percent," Mr Mohamed Ismail, CEO of PropNex Realty.

Resale prices for HDB flats continued their decline in the first quarter of 2014, a trend which is unlikely to reverse even by the end of this year — this is the result of a convergence of measures imposed last year to cool the market and a continued supply of new flats. HDB today indicated that the resale price index in 1Q14 was 198.5, which represented a 1.6 percent contraction from the previous quarter.

This continued decline comes after a 6.6 percent price growth in 2012 and a double-digit growth in 2011. It also marked three consecutive quarters of price decreases from 2013 (the index dipped 0.9 percent in 3Q13 and 1.5 percent in 4Q13).

Mr Ismail said, "The potent combination of the measures has been effective at slowing down the price growth of HDB resale prices. I am not surprised that the downward trend to continue with prices dropping by between 6 to 8 percent in 2014 and beyond," commented Mr Ismail.

"The recent HDB's change to the valuation procedure will also create a cautious approach from buyers, and I foresee them being more careful when giving an offer for a particular flat. This will further increase a downward pressure on resale prices in the coming quarters."

Credits: Singapore Business Review

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